Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.469325 0.537724 0.611770 0.697778 0.794823 0.900818 1.025242
2025-04-06 0.364904 0.457543 0.566209 0.702628 0.868825 1.064209 1.310765
2025-04-13 0.278996 0.380525 0.508797 0.681690 0.907432 1.190822 1.571998
2025-04-20 0.232265 0.342083 0.490491 0.703690 0.999696 1.393315 1.952941
2025-04-27 0.198148 0.313323 0.478896 0.730954 1.100810 1.618541 2.391606
2025-05-04 0.166599 0.281762 0.457232 0.739188 1.174593 1.813402 2.810703
2025-05-11 0.139813 0.252051 0.432710 0.738057 1.232452 1.989853 3.221410
2025-05-18 0.118409 0.226793 0.410513 0.736072 1.286874 2.164963 3.646947
2025-05-25 0.101780 0.206459 0.392764 0.737831 1.345945 2.351643 4.107943
2025-06-01 0.088762 0.190140 0.379070 0.743821 1.411514 2.553891 4.612570
2025-06-08 0.076260 0.172359 0.359703 0.736273 1.451352 2.715343 5.062576
2025-06-15 0.068600 0.162877 0.354389 0.753690 1.537451 2.963966 5.684975
2025-06-22 0.059220 0.148168 0.336899 0.745844 1.576787 3.135872 6.193413
2025-06-29 0.052827 0.138873 0.329070 0.756269 1.652613 3.382279 6.861937
2025-07-06 0.045025 0.124693 0.308494 0.737062 1.666649 3.513051 7.325926
2025-07-13 0.041482 0.120218 0.308748 0.762762 1.776011 3.838862 8.194477
2025-07-20 0.038616 0.116903 0.311136 0.793456 1.899293 4.203576 9.171555
2025-07-27 0.034850 0.110395 0.304839 0.803173 1.977711 4.483843 10.002802
2025-08-03 0.031018 0.102873 0.294791 0.802471 2.032446 4.719363 10.761945
2025-08-10 0.027624 0.095867 0.284894 0.800649 2.084129 4.952620 11.535649
2025-08-17 0.024814 0.089997 0.277021 0.802751 2.145090 5.211152 12.384618
2025-08-24 0.022502 0.085176 0.271214 0.809352 2.217514 5.501275 13.325984
2025-08-31 0.019958 0.078989 0.260496 0.801269 2.252468 5.709151 14.101213